Kostolany Terminal
Zone 1 — The Liquidity Gauge
Shadow Net Liquidity
Fed BS − TGA − O/N RRP
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Central Bank Pressure
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QT / QE Velocity
Real Cost of Leverage
Broker margin loan rate
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When margin rates climb, Shaky Hands face a forced-liquidation squeeze before fundamentals shift.
Zone 2 — The Shaky Hands Matrix
Cocktail Party Velocity
Retail search trend + account growth
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/ 100Media Consensus Heatmap
≥ 85 = unanimous consensus → contrarian exit / short signal
Leverage Ratio of the Masses
FINRA Margin Debt / Total Market Cap
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Margin Debt / Mkt Cap
Debt: | Mkt Cap:
Zone 3 — Trading Volume Arbitrage / Egg Phase Detector
| # | Price Action | Volume | Phase | Stance |
|---|
Active Phase
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Notes
Zone 4 — The Contrarian Grit Tracker
The "Sleep" Clock — Holding Periods
Kostolany: "Buy good stocks, take a sleeping pill, and stop looking at the screen."
The Asymmetry Evaluator
Rate how much bad news is already screamed about in the press.
100% priced-in = asymmetric buy. Residual optimism = danger.
Enter a ticker above to open the evaluator.