Psychology Dashboard

Sentiment Monitor

Six signals defining Kostolany's "psychology" axis โ€” leverage, options positioning, retail sentiment, search-driven FOMO, near-term speculation, and unprofitable-tech rotation. Score above 7 = euphoria (sell); below 3 = capitulation (buy).

Sources: FINRA ยท CBOE ยท AAII ยท Google ยท Yahoo ยท Updated โ€”
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Psychology Risk Score
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Broker Margin Lending (YoY)
FRED Z.1 Financial Accounts (quarterly)
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YoY Change
โ€”%โ€”
Current Level
$โ€”B
1Y Ago
$โ€”B
YoY % change
Kostolanyโ€”
CBOE Skew Index
Tail-risk hedging premium (^SKEW)
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SKEW
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20-Day Avg
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30-Day Prior
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SKEW ยท 120 = normal ยท >140 = stress
Kostolanyโ€”
AAII Bull-Bear Spread
Individual investor survey
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Bull-Bear
โ€”%โ€”
Bullish
โ€”%
Bearish
โ€”%
Bull-Bear spread (%)
Kostolanyโ€”
Dumb Money Index
Google Trends composite
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Current
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30-Day Prior
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Terms
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Composite (0-100)
Kostolanyโ€”
0DTE Speculation Proxy
VIX9D / VIX ratio
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VIX9D/VIX
โ€”โ€”
VIX9D
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VIX
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Ratio ยท 1.0 = balanced
Kostolanyโ€”
Trash Rally Index
ARKK vs SPY โ€” non-profitable tech
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1Y Outperf.
โ€”%
Ratio (idx)
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ARKK
$โ€”
ARKK/SPY ratio ยท 100 = parity
Kostolanyโ€”